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London Eye architect proposes 14-mile tidal power station off Somerset coast

The Guardian > Energy

West Somerset Lagoon would harness renewable energy for UK's AI boom - and create'iconic' arc around Bristol Channel The architect of the London Eye wants to build a vast tidal power station in a 14-mile arc off the coast of Somerset that could help Britain meet surging electricity demand to power artificial intelligence - and create a new race track to let cyclists skim over the Bristol Channel. Julia Barfield, who designed the Eye and the i360 observation tower in Brighton, is part of a team that has drawn up the £11bn proposal. The proposal comes amid growing concern that rapidly rising use of AI in Britain will drive up carbon emissions unless more renewable energy sources are found. The AI boom is expected to add to sharp increases in demand for electricity across the UK, which the government estimated this month could more than double by 2050. "If the decision is to go ahead with adopting more and more AI - which I am surprised is not being questioned more at a time of climate emergency - then it is going to be better with a renewable energy source," said Barfield.


A Tidal Current Speed Forecasting Model based on Multiple Periodicity Learning

Cheng, Tengfei, Dong, Yunxuan, Huang, Yangdi

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Tidal energy is one of the key components in increasing the penetration rate of renewable energy. The penetration of tidal energy in the electrical grid depends on the accuracy of tidal current speed forecasting. Modeling inaccuracies hinder forecast accuracy. Previous research has primarily used physical models to forecast tidal current speed. However, tidal current variations influenced by the orbital periods of celestial bodies make accurate physical modeling challenging. Researching the multiple periodicity of tides is crucial for accurately forecasting tidal current speed. In this article, we propose the Wavelet-Enhanced Convolutional Network (WCN) to learn multiple periodicity. The framework embeds intra-period and inter-period variations of one-dimensional tidal current data into the rows and columns of a two-dimensional tensor. Then, the two-dimensional variations of the sequence can be processed by convolutional kernels. We integrate a time-frequency analysis method into the framework to further address local periodic features. Additionally, to enhance the framework's stability, we optimize the framework's hyperparameters with the Tree-structured Parzen Estimator algorithm. The proposed framework avoids the lack of learning multiple periodicity. Compared with benchmarks, the proposed framework reduces the mean absolute error and mean square error in 10-step forecasting by, at most, 90.36% and 97.56%, respectively.


Generative AI-based Prompt Evolution Engineering Design Optimization With Vision-Language Model

Wong, Melvin, Rios, Thiago, Menzel, Stefan, Ong, Yew Soon

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Engineering design optimization requires an efficient combination of a 3D shape representation, an optimization algorithm, and a design performance evaluation method, which is often computationally expensive. We present a prompt evolution design optimization (PEDO) framework contextualized in a vehicle design scenario that leverages a vision-language model for penalizing impractical car designs synthesized by a generative model. The backbone of our framework is an evolutionary strategy coupled with an optimization objective function that comprises a physics-based solver and a vision-language model for practical or functional guidance in the generated car designs. In the prompt evolutionary search, the optimizer iteratively generates a population of text prompts, which embed user specifications on the aerodynamic performance and visual preferences of the 3D car designs. Then, in addition to the computational fluid dynamics simulations, the pre-trained vision-language model is used to penalize impractical designs and, thus, foster the evolutionary algorithm to seek more viable designs. Our investigations on a car design optimization problem show a wide spread of potential car designs generated at the early phase of the search, which indicates a good diversity of designs in the initial populations, and an increase of over 20\% in the probability of generating practical designs compared to a baseline framework without using a vision-language model. Visual inspection of the designs against the performance results demonstrates prompt evolution as a very promising paradigm for finding novel designs with good optimization performance while providing ease of use in specifying design specifications and preferences via a natural language interface.


A Tale of Two Languages: Large-Vocabulary Continuous Sign Language Recognition from Spoken Language Supervision

Raude, Charles, Prajwal, K R, Momeni, Liliane, Bull, Hannah, Albanie, Samuel, Zisserman, Andrew, Varol, Gül

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work, our goals are two fold: large-vocabulary continuous sign language recognition (CSLR), and sign language retrieval. To this end, we introduce a multi-task Transformer model, CSLR2, that is able to ingest a signing sequence and output in a joint embedding space between signed language and spoken language text. To enable CSLR evaluation in the large-vocabulary setting, we introduce new dataset annotations that have been manually collected. These provide continuous sign-level annotations for six hours of test videos, and will be made publicly available. We demonstrate that by a careful choice of loss functions, training the model for both the CSLR and retrieval tasks is mutually beneficial in terms of performance -- retrieval improves CSLR performance by providing context, while CSLR improves retrieval with more fine-grained supervision. We further show the benefits of leveraging weak and noisy supervision from large-vocabulary datasets such as BOBSL, namely sign-level pseudo-labels, and English subtitles. Our model significantly outperforms the previous state of the art on both tasks.


Additive Covariance Matrix Models: Modelling Regional Electricity Net-Demand in Great Britain

Gioia, V., Fasiolo, M., Browell, J., Bellio, R.

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Forecasts of regional electricity net-demand, consumption minus embedded generation, are an essential input for reliable and economic power system operation, and energy trading. While such forecasts are typically performed region by region, operations such as managing power flows require spatially coherent joint forecasts, which account for cross-regional dependencies. Here, we forecast the joint distribution of net-demand across the 14 regions constituting Great Britain's electricity network. Joint modelling is complicated by the fact that the net-demand variability within each region, and the dependencies between regions, vary with temporal, socio-economical and weather-related factors. We accommodate for these characteristics by proposing a multivariate Gaussian model based on a modified Cholesky parametrisation, which allows us to model each unconstrained parameter via an additive model. Given that the number of model parameters and covariates is large, we adopt a semi-automated approach to model selection, based on gradient boosting. In addition to comparing the forecasting performance of several versions of the proposed model with that of two non-Gaussian copula-based models, we visually explore the model output to interpret how the covariates affect net-demand variability and dependencies. The code for reproducing the results in this paper is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7315105, while methods for building and fitting multivariate Gaussian additive models are provided by the SCM R package, available at https://github.com/VinGioia90/SCM.


Towards Machine Learning-based Fish Stock Assessment

Lüdtke, Stefan, Pierce, Maria E.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The accurate assessment of fish stocks is crucial for sustainable fisheries management. However, existing statistical stock assessment models can have low forecast performance of relevant stock parameters like recruitment or spawning stock biomass, especially in ecosystems that are changing due to global warming and other anthropogenic stressors. In this paper, we investigate the use of machine learning models to improve the estimation and forecast of such stock parameters. We propose a hybrid model that combines classical statistical stock assessment models with supervised ML, specifically gradient boosted trees. Our hybrid model leverages the initial estimate provided by the classical model and uses the ML model to make a post-hoc correction to improve accuracy. We experiment with five different stocks and find that the forecast accuracy of recruitment and spawning stock biomass improves considerably in most cases.


Britain's most amazing shipwrecks REVEALED: Underwater monuments to the UK's rich maritime heritage

Daily Mail - Science & tech

A whopping 350 years after it sank off the coast of Norfolk, authorities have revealed on Friday that HMS Gloucester has finally been found. The'outstanding' ship, which sank on May 6, 1682 after hitting the Norfolk sandbanks in the southern North Sea, was uncovered 28 miles off the coast of Great Yarmouth half-buried on the seabed. But HMS Gloucester is just one of thousands of shipwrecks that litter the British coast, the majority of which haven't been seen by the human eye for centuries. It's thought nearly 40,000 wrecks could be waiting to be found off the British coast, according to Historic England, providing snapshots of the UK's rich maritime heritage. But at least 90 are known to exist and experts have pinpointed their location, although many likely won't ever be brought to land and could disintegrate to nothing in the decades to come.